Tuda Tong's Hong Kong IPO Plan Under Scrutiny

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Since the beginning of 2024, the Hong Kong stock market has emerged as a lucrative platform for technology stocksSeveral companies, including Rapid Tech Group (02498.HK), Horizon Robotics (09660.HK), and Hezhima Intelligent (02533.HK), capitalized on this trend by flocking to the market with their tech-centric offeringsOne of the significant names entering this arena is Seyound Holdings Ltd., commonly referred to as Tudatong, a laser radar supplier poised to make its debut.

Tudatong’s approach to entering the public market is noteworthyOn December 20, the Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) TechStar (07855.HK) announced a significant business merger agreement with Tudatong and its wholly-owned subsidiary, Merger SubThis deal encompasses several crucial elements, including a founder lock-up agreement and a PIPE investment agreement.

The merger involves combining the operations of TechStar and Tudatong, leading to the latter eventually listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange

The SPAC approach to this merger offers a faster and often less complex method of going public compared to traditional IPO routesThis approach has gained popularity in various regions, including the United States and Singapore, as it secures confidentiality for the target company.

Investors have characterized Tudatong’s backdoor listing as a shortcut to capitalize on market fluctuations, allowing them to emerge quickly without the lengthy processes synonymous with traditional listings.

Established in 2016, Tudatong has specialized in providing automotive-grade laser radar solutions for self-driving and various other automotive and non-automotive applicationsBy 2022, the company achieved significant milestones by mass-producing on-board laser radar systemsKey products include the Falcon ultra-long-range laser radar series, comprising models like Falcon K1, Falcon K2, Falcon K3, and additional units like Lingque E and Robin W, designed for applications ranging from autonomous vehicles and low-speed driverless cars to smart transportation and city infrastructure.

The firm has asserted a notable position within the industry, classifying itself alongside other top-tier suppliers, including Rapid Tech Group, Huawei Technologies, and Hesai (HSAI.US). According to CI Consulting, Tudatong ranked first globally in sales revenue from passenger vehicle laser radar solutions in 2023. Additionally, it holds the distinction of being the first supplier to achieve mass production of automotive-grade high-performance laser radar solutions.

Moreover, Tudatong has secured multiple rounds of financing, with the merger agreeing on a valuation of HKD 11.7 billion

Financially, Tudatong’s revenue figures have shown notable growth but have also been punctuated by significant lossesReportedly, their revenues from 2021 to 2023 stood at USD 4.6 million, USD 66.3 million, and USD 121 million, respectivelyHowever, during those years, they also faced escalating losses, amounting to USD 114 million, USD 188 million, and USD 219 million.

For the first half of 2024, Tudatong projected its revenue at about USD 66.1 million while suffering an unaudited loss of USD 78.7 millionThe company attributed these losses to the nascent state of the global laser radar solutions market, particularly the automotive sectorThe overall penetration rate for automotive laser radar solutions remains low; Tudatong has yet to realize full economies of scaleIn response to this developmental environment, Tudatong has invested considerable resources into research and product development, leading to substantial R&D expenditures.

In summary, while Tudatong shows growth in revenue, its expanding losses could sour investor sentiments

However, its strong industry positioning and the overall promising outlook for the sector make it an intriguing player within a favorable market landscape.

So, what does the future hold for the laser radar market? Reports estimate that the global market for laser radar solutions is expected to reach USD 4 billion by 2024 and further soar to USD 65.2 billion by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 59.5%. Among these projections, laser radar solutions for Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems (ADAS) are anticipated to grow from USD 1.9 billion in 2024 to USD 23.2 billion by 2030, highlighting a projected CAGR of 52.4%. Similarly, the market for laser radar dedicated to self-driving applications is likely to grow from USD 900 million in 2024 to USD 28.6 billion by 2030, marking an impressive CAGR of 78.8%.

In terms of geographical context, China is expected to dominate the global market for ADAS laser radar solutions, achieving market sizes of USD 1 billion and USD 11.1 billion by 2024 and 2030, respectively

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This trajectory evidences a growth rate of 50.1% during this periodFurthermore, as the laser radar technology continues to evolve, especially in automotive-grade solutions, it promises substantial advancements and expansions in applications relating to ADAS.

Currently, Tudatong's automotive-grade laser radar solutions primarily cater to the global L2+ ADAS market, and as technology matures, these solutions are poised to penetrate the burgeoning self-driving market substantially.

While the laser radar market appears rife with potential, it is essential to recognize ongoing debates within the smart driving fieldA rivalry persists between pure vision solutions and laser radar methodologies, a dynamic investors should closely observe as market preferences evolveThe road ahead for Tudatong and its peers seems promising, but market realities and technological competition will play critical roles in shaping their futures.

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